Saturday’s game at Trojan Arena has the Troy Trojans (14-7, 7-3 Sun Belt) squaring off against the UL Monroe Warhawks (6-17, 2-8 Sun Belt) at 4:33 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 77-61 win, as our model heavily favors Troy.

Based on our computer prediction, UL Monroe is projected to cover the spread (16.5) versus Troy. The two sides are expected to fall short of the 139.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Time: 4:33 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -16.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -2222, UL Monroe +980

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 77, UL Monroe 61

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. UL Monroe

• Pick ATS: UL Monroe (+16.5)
• Pick OU: Under (139.5)

Troy’s record against the spread so far this season is 11-8-0, and UL Monroe’s is 8-13-0. A total of eight out of the Trojans’ games this season have gone over the point total, and eight of the Warhawks’ games have gone over. The two teams score 143 points per game, 3.5 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Troy has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. UL Monroe has gone 5-5 against the spread and 2-8 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 7.3 points per game (scoring 73.3 points per game to rank 220th in college basketball while giving up 66.0 per outing to rank 40th in college basketball) and have a +154 scoring differential overall.
• Troy ranks 62nd in the country at 34.7 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 28.8 its opponents average.
• Troy makes 7.6 three-pointers per game (199th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
• The Trojans rank 237th in college basketball with 93.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 20th in college basketball defensively with 84.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 14.0 per game (342nd in college basketball) and force 13.5 (51st in college basketball action).

UL Monroe Performance Insights

• The Warhawks are being outscored by 2.5 points per game, with a -58 scoring differential overall. They put up 69.7 points per game (290th in college basketball), and give up 72.2 per outing (206th in college basketball).
• The 34.4 rebounds per game UL Monroe accumulates rank 76th in the nation, 1.2 more than the 33.2 its opponents grab.
• UL Monroe connects on 7.1 three-pointers per game (246th in college basketball) while shooting 32.3% from deep (268th in college basketball). It is making 1.6 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 8.7 per game at 31.7%.
• UL Monroe forces 12.1 turnovers per game (146th in college basketball) while committing 11.4 (182nd in college basketball).

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