Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 5
Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024
The Atlanta Falcons will meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Falcons will win — keep scrolling for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.
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The Falcons are averaging 309.3 yards per game on offense (19th in NFL), and they rank 19th on the other side of the ball with 336.5 yards allowed per game. With 24.3 points per game on offense, the Buccaneers rank 11th in the NFL. On defense, they rank ninth, surrendering 19.5 points per contest.
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Toss Up (Spread: Falcons by 1.5) | Under (44) | Falcons 22, Buccaneers 21 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 55.6%.
- Atlanta has covered once in four chances against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
- So far this season, just one Atlanta game has gone over the point total.
- The point total average for Falcons games this season is 44.3, 0.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Buccaneers Betting Info
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.
- Tampa Bay has covered three times in four games with a spread this season.
- The Buccaneers have won their only game this season when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
- So far this year, two Tampa Bay games have hit the over.
- The average total points scored in Buccaneers games (playoffs included) this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 18.8 | 21.3 | 17.7 | 21.3 | 22 | 21 |
| Buccaneers | 24.3 | 19.5 | 25.7 | 20.7 | 20 | 16 |
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