Grizzlies vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – March 3

Published 9:16 pm Sunday, March 2, 2025

The Memphis Grizzlies (38-22) play the Atlanta Hawks (27-33) as 8.5-point favorites on Monday, March 3, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSE.

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Grizzlies vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Memphis, Tennessee
  • Venue: FedExForum

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Grizzlies vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Grizzlies 125 – Hawks 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Grizzlies vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 8.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Grizzlies (-11.1)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (253.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 238.0
  • The Grizzlies’ .583 ATS win percentage (35-25-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Hawks’ .467 mark (28-32-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • Memphis (8-2) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 8.5 points or more this season (80%) than Atlanta (6-5) does as an 8.5+-point underdog (54.5%).
  • Atlanta and its opponents have eclipsed the over/under 58.3% of the time this season (35 out of 60). That’s less often than Memphis and its opponents have (38 out of 60).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Hawks are 17-23, while the Grizzlies are 30-10 as moneyline favorites.

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • The Grizzlies are giving up 116.7 points per game this year (25th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really thrived on offense, putting up 123.2 points per game (best).
  • Memphis is top-five this season in rebounding, ranking second-best in the league with 47.6 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 12th with 43.4 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • With 29.1 dimes per game, the Grizzlies are third-best in the league in the category.
  • Memphis is fifth-best in the NBA with 15 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks second-worst in the league by averaging 15.7 turnovers per contest.
  • So far this season, the Grizzlies are draining 13.8 three-pointers per game (11th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 36.8% (10th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the NBA offensively (116.6 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (119.5 points allowed).
  • On the glass, Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds (44.9 per game). It is 18th in rebounds allowed (44.5 per game).
  • The Hawks are second-best in the league in assists (29.2 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in committing them (15.1 per game). However it is third-best in forcing them (15.7 per game).
  • The Hawks are 14th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13.1 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (35%).

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