Troy vs. Southern Miss Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 28
Published 3:58 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025
Friday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (19-10, 12-5 Sun Belt) versus the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (10-20, 5-12 Sun Belt) at Reed Green Coliseum has a projected final score of 76-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, who is the favorite in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET on February 28.
Based on our computer prediction, Southern Miss should cover the spread, which currently sits at 8.5. The two sides are projected to exceed the 142.5 total.
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Troy vs. Southern Miss Game Info & Odds
- Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Hattiesburg, Mississippi
- Venue: Reed Green Coliseum
- Line: Troy -8.5
- Point total: 142.5
- Moneyline (to win): Troy -365, Southern Miss +285
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Troy vs. Southern Miss Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Troy 76, Southern Miss 67
Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Southern Miss
- Pick ATS: Southern Miss (+8.5)
- Pick OU: Over (142.5)
Troy’s record against the spread so far this season is 16-11-0, and Southern Miss’ is 15-13-0. A total of 11 out of the Trojans’ games this season have gone over the point total, and 12 of the Golden Eagles’ games have gone over. The teams average 145.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 games, while Southern Miss has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall.
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Troy Performance Insights
- The Trojans average 73.1 points per game (210th in college basketball) while giving up 65.6 per outing (26th in college basketball). They have a +219 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.5 points per game.
- Troy pulls down 34.9 rebounds per game (47th in college basketball) while conceding 28.7 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.2 boards per game.
- Troy connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (163rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 30.0% from deep while its opponents hit 32.9% from long range.
- The Trojans’ 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 224th in college basketball, and the 84.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 15th in college basketball.
- Troy forces 13.2 turnovers per game (48th in college basketball) while committing 13.3 (335th in college basketball play).
Southern Miss Performance Insights
- The Golden Eagles put up 72.1 points per game (242nd in college basketball) while giving up 76.5 per contest (306th in college basketball). They have a -132 scoring differential and have been outscored by 4.4 points per game.
- The 32.8 rebounds per game Southern Miss accumulates rank 139th in college basketball. Their opponents record 33.5.
- Southern Miss connects on 6.6 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than its opponents.
- Southern Miss has lost the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 13.5 (337th in college basketball) while forcing 11.0 (221st in college basketball).
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