Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26

Published 9:16 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

The Miami Heat (26-30) host the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Heat are 1.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 116 – Hawks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
  • The Heat have covered less often than the Hawks this season, putting up an ATS record of 25-31-0, compared to the 28-30-0 mark of the Hawks.
  • Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (59.5%).
  • When it comes to going over the point total in 2024-25, Atlanta and its opponents are more successful (56.9% of the time) than Miami and its opponents (53.6%).
  • As a moneyline underdog this season, the Hawks are 17-21, while the Heat are 18-13 as moneyline favorites.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 109.7 points per game on offense, the Heat are 24th in the NBA. On defense, they cede 110.7 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league.
  • Miami is grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game (17th-ranked in league). It is giving up 45.7 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • The Heat rank 16th in the NBA with 25.9 assists per game.
  • Miami is sixth in the NBA with 12.7 turnovers per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 23rd with 12.6 forced turnovers per game.
  • With 13.8 treys per game, the Heat rank 11th in the NBA. They sport a 35.6% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 17th in the league.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • On offense the Hawks are the eighth-ranked team in the league (116.7 points per game). Defensively they are fourth-worst (119 points conceded per game).
  • Atlanta is 11th in the NBA in rebounds per game (45.1) and 19th in rebounds allowed (44.7).
  • This season the Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists at 29.3 per game.
  • Atlanta is the fifth-worst squad in the league in turnovers per game (15) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • The Hawks are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).

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