Tuesday’s game between the Troy Trojans (18-10, 11-5 Sun Belt) and Texas State Bobcats (15-14, 8-8 Sun Belt) going head to head at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center has a projected final score of 73-70 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will start at 8:00 PM ET on February 25.

According to our computer prediction, Texas State projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup versus Troy. The total is currently listed at 141.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: San Marcos, Texas
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
• Line: Troy -2.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -130, Texas State +108

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Texas State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Troy is 15-11-0 against the spread this season compared to Texas State’s 13-14-0 ATS record. A total of 10 out of the Trojans’ games this season have gone over the point total, and 16 of the Bobcats’ games have gone over. The two teams score 149.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 games, while Texas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +214 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.1 points per game (211th in college basketball) while giving up 65.4 per outing (25th in college basketball).
• Troy grabs 34.8 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) while allowing 28.7 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.1 boards per game.
• Troy makes 7.9 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) at a 30.4% rate (341st in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 its opponents make while shooting 33.1% from beyond the arc.
• The Trojans average 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (228th in college basketball), and give up 84.2 points per 100 possessions (15th in college basketball).
• Troy and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 13.4 per game (336th in college basketball) and force 13.2 (50th in college basketball play).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats are outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game, with a +92 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) and allow 72.9 per contest (212th in college basketball).
• Texas State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.4 boards. It records 33.5 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.1.
• Texas State connects on 6.1 three-pointers per game (332nd in college basketball), 1.4 fewer than its opponents.
• Texas State has committed 11.4 turnovers per game (199th in college basketball) while forcing 11.2 (201st in college basketball).

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