NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24
Published 11:40 pm Sunday, February 23, 2025
The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are favored (-1.5) to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The game airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.
Before making a wager on this game, take a peek at the best bets available on Monday according to our computer predictions.
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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info
- When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets
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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS
- The 24.2 points Trae Young has scored per game this season is 4.3 fewer than his prop total set for Monday (28.5).
- In 53 games this season with a points prop total, Young has hit the over 27 times.
- The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring squad (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth in points conceded (110.9 per game).
- When Atlanta scores more than 110.9 points, its record is 22-18.
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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS
- The 24.2 points Tyler Herro scores per game are 2.3 less than his prop total on Monday.
- Herro has gone over 29 times on a points prop this season (in 53 opportunities).
- The 24th-ranked scoring NBA team (110.1 points per game) is Miami, while Atlanta ranks 28th in the league defensively (119.6 conceded per game).
- Miami is 9-4 when scoring more points than 119.6.
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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
- Atlanta has covered the spread 27 times in 57 games.
- Miami’s record against the spread is 25-30-0.
- As 1.5-point favorites or more, the Hawks are 5-15 against the spread.
- As 1.5-point underdogs or greater, the Heat are 10-15 against the spread.
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Pick OU:
Under (231.5)
- In 36 games this season, the Hawks and their opponents have scored more than 231.5 combined points.
- The Heat have combined with their opponent to score more than 231.5 points in 19 of 55 games this season.
- Atlanta’s games this year have an average point total of 234.7, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Miami has had an average of 219.2 points scored in its games so far this season, 12.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
- The Hawks score the seventh-most points in the NBA this season, while the Heat’s offense puts up the 27th-most.
- The Heat have surrendered the third-fewest points in NBA play this season, while the Hawks have given up the 29th-fewest.
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Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)
- The Hawks have won nine, or 47.4%, of the 19 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- The Heat have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (33.3%) in those contests.
- This season, Atlanta has won nine of its 19 games, or 47.4%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Hawks.
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