Monday’s contest features the Alabama State Hornets (11-14, 7-5 SWAC) and the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-22, 1-11 SWAC) squaring off at Harrison HPER Complex in what is expected to be a one-sided matchup, with a projected 78-65 victory for heavily favored Alabama State according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 17.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State projects to cover the 18.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama State. The total is currently listed at 138.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 17, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Itta Bena, Mississippi
• Venue: Harrison HPER Complex
• Line: Alabama State -18.5
• Point total: 138.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -3448, Mississippi Valley State +1280

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 78, Mississippi Valley State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+18.5)
• Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Alabama State has put together an 8-15-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi Valley State is 9-14-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 11-12-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The two teams put up 128.3 points per game combined, 10.2 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alabama State has a 2-8 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over the last 10 games. Mississippi Valley State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 1.9 points per game with a -47 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.5 points per game (175th in college basketball) and give up 76.4 per outing (305th in college basketball).
• Alabama State pulls down 31.7 rebounds per game (203rd in college basketball) while conceding 36.8 per outing to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 5.1 boards per game.
• Alabama State hits 9.1 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball) at a 32.9% rate (246th in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make while shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc.
• The Hornets’ 93.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 254th in college basketball, and the 95.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 258th in college basketball.
• Alabama State has committed three fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.8 (10th in college basketball play) while forcing 11.8 (147th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils’ -719 scoring differential (being outscored by 28.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 53.8 points per game (364th in college basketball) while giving up 82.5 per contest (357th in college basketball).
• The 24.4 rebounds per game Mississippi Valley State accumulates rank 363rd in the country, 9.1 fewer than the 33.5 its opponents grab.
• Mississippi Valley State makes five fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 4 (364th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.
• Mississippi Valley State has committed 15.4 turnovers per game (362nd in college basketball), 5.2 more than the 10.2 it forces (294th in college basketball).

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