Saturday’s game between the Alabama State Hornets (10-14, 6-5 SWAC) and the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-20, 1-10 SWAC) at H.O. Clemmons Arena has a projected final score of 81-74 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Alabama State squad securing the victory. Game time is at 6:30 PM ET on February 15.

Based on our computer prediction, UAPB projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama State. The over/under is listed at 158.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Pine Bluff, Arkansas
• Venue: H.O. Clemmons Arena
• Line: Alabama State -8.5
• Point total: 158.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -500, UAPB +360

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 81, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (158.5)

Alabama State has put together a 7-15-0 record against the spread this season, while UAPB is 9-13-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Hornets are 11-11-0 and the Golden Lions are 14-8-0. The two teams put up 148.3 points per game combined, 10.2 less than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Alabama State is 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets’ -59 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.5 points per game (171st in college basketball) while allowing 77 per outing (311th in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 5.8 boards on average. It collects 31.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 247th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.9 per outing.
• Alabama State hits 9.1 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball) at a 33% rate (237th in college basketball), compared to the 8 per game its opponents make at a 34.1% rate.
• The Hornets average 93.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (248th in college basketball), and give up 96.4 points per 100 possessions (284th in college basketball).
• Alabama State has committed 2.8 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.8 (ninth in college basketball play) while forcing 11.6 (169th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions put up 73.8 points per game (196th in college basketball) while allowing 87.8 per contest (364th in college basketball). They have a -336 scoring differential and have been outscored by 14 points per game.
• The 30.4 rebounds per game UAPB accumulates rank 284th in the country, 5.3 fewer than the 35.7 its opponents pull down.
• UAPB makes 7.5 three-pointers per game (198th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents.
• UAPB loses the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 14.3 (352nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.8.

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