Monday’s game at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Southern Jaguars (15-8, 10-0 SWAC) taking on the Alabama State Hornets (9-14, 5-5 SWAC) at 7:00 PM (on February 10). Our computer prediction projects a 75-71 win for Southern, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Southern. The total is currently listed at 141.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Southern vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 10, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Southern -3.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Southern -160, Alabama State +132

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Southern vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Southern 75, Alabama State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Southern vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Southern has put together a 10-9-0 record against the spread this season, while Alabama State is 6-15-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Jaguars are 8-11-0 and the Hornets are 10-11-0. The two teams score an average of 150.8 points per game, 9.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Southern has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall. Alabama State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Southern Performance Insights

• The Jaguars average 76.6 points per game (113th in college basketball) while allowing 69.3 per contest (102nd in college basketball). They have a +169 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.3 points per game.
• The 34.5 rebounds per game Southern averages rank 65th in the nation, and are 4.5 more than the 30 its opponents collect per outing.
• Southern knocks down 7 three-pointers per game (254th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.7. It shoots 32.7% from deep while its opponents hit 34.7% from long range.
• The Jaguars rank 201st in college basketball with 95 points scored per 100 possessions, and 41st in college basketball defensively with 85.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Southern has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (264th in college basketball action), 2.9 fewer than the 15.1 it forces on average (11th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 2.6 points per game, with a -60 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.2 points per game (189th in college basketball), and give up 76.8 per outing (312th in college basketball).
• The 31 rebounds per game Alabama State accumulates rank 254th in the nation, 5.5 fewer than the 36.5 its opponents grab.
• Alabama State connects on 9 three-pointers per game (66th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.2. It shoots 32.8% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.6%.
• Alabama State has committed 8.8 turnovers per game (seventh in college basketball), three fewer than the 11.8 it forces (155th in college basketball).

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