Saturday’s contest at Trojan Arena has the Troy Trojans (11-7, 4-3 Sun Belt) going head to head against the South Alabama Jaguars (14-5, 6-1 Sun Belt) at 6:00 PM ET (on January 25). Our computer prediction projects a close 69-67 victory for Troy, so it should be a competitive matchup.

According to our computer prediction, South Alabama is projected to cover the spread (3.5) versus Troy. The two teams are expected to go over the 130.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -178, South Alabama +144

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Troy vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 69, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Troy is 10-6-0 against the spread this season compared to South Alabama’s 11-6-0 ATS record. The Trojans have gone over the point total in seven games, while Jaguars games have gone over six times. The teams average 147.4 points per game, 16.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over the last 10 games. South Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +128 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.5 points per game (217th in college basketball) while giving up 66.4 per contest (50th in college basketball).
• Troy comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 6.6 boards. It is collecting 34.7 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per outing.
• Troy knocks down 7.3 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
• The Trojans average 93.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (232nd in college basketball), and give up 84.4 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).
• Troy forces 13.3 turnovers per game (64th in college basketball) while committing 14.3 (345th in college basketball action).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars’ +234 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 73.9 points per game (209th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per outing (ninth in college basketball).
• South Alabama pulls down 30.8 rebounds per game (279th in college basketball) while allowing 32.3 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.5 boards per game.
• South Alabama makes 9.9 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) at a 34.6% rate (137th in college basketball), compared to the 11.0 per contest its opponents make, shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc.
• South Alabama has committed 8.4 turnovers per game (first in college basketball), 4.8 fewer than the 13.2 it forces (72nd in college basketball).

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