Saturday’s contest between the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) and Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) squaring off at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 70-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of South Alabama, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will begin at 4:00 PM ET on January 18.

According to our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) against South Alabama. The two teams are expected to go over the 130.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -170, Troy +140

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

South Alabama has an 11-5-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Troy, who is 9-6-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Jaguars are 6-10-0 and the Trojans are 7-8-0. The two teams score 148.6 points per game, 18.1 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in the last 10 contests. Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars average 74.5 points per game (201st in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per contest (eighth in college basketball). They have a +233 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 12.9 points per game.
• South Alabama averages 30.9 rebounds per game (276th in college basketball) compared to the 31.9 of its opponents.
• South Alabama connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (11.1). It is shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc (153rd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.9%.
• The Jaguars score 101.6 points per 100 possessions (67th in college basketball), while giving up 84.0 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
• South Alabama wins the turnover battle by 5.1 per game, committing 8.1 (first in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.2.

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans put up 74.1 points per game (208th in college basketball) while giving up 66.5 per contest (57th in college basketball). They have a +129 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 7.6 points per game.
• Troy wins the rebound battle by 6.4 boards on average. It collects 34.5 rebounds per game, 89th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.1.
• Troy connects on 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball) at a 29.8% rate (333rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 33.0% from deep.
• Troy has lost the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (69th in college basketball).

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