A victory by the Washington Commanders over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, keep scrolling.

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The Commanders rank ninth in total defense this year (322.9 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 373.5 total yards per game. In terms of total yards, the Falcons rank 10th in the NFL (360.9 total yards per game) and 16th defensively (335.3 total yards allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta has won six games against the spread this season, failing to cover or pushing nine times.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• In Atlanta’s 15 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total five times.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (playoffs included) of 46.

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Commanders’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
• Washington has covered the spread nine times in 15 games this season.
• The Commanders have been favored by 3.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in three of those games.
• A total of 10 out of 15 Washington games this season have gone over the point total.
• The over/under in this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season (postseason included).

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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