Tuesday’s game at Moody Coliseum has the SMU Mustangs (6-2) squaring off against the Alabama State Hornets (3-4) at 8:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 86-70 win, as our model heavily favors SMU.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama State projects to cover the 19.5-point spread in its matchup against SMU. The over/under is listed at 156.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.

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SMU vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2024
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ACC Network Extra
• Where: Dallas, Texas
• Venue: Moody Coliseum
• Line: SMU -19.5
• Point total: 156.5
• Moneyline (to win): SMU -5000, Alabama State +1500

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SMU vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  SMU 86, Alabama State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for SMU vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+19.5)
• Pick OU: Under (156.5)

SMU is 3-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Alabama State’s 3-2-0 ATS record. The Mustangs have gone over the point total in six games, while Hornets games have gone over three times. The teams combine to score 165.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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SMU Performance Insights

• The Mustangs average 86.8 points per game (19th in college basketball) while giving up 71.8 per contest (198th in college basketball). They have a +120 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 15.0 points per game.
• SMU pulls down 37.4 rebounds per game (42nd in college basketball) while conceding 27.9 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 9.5 boards per game.
• SMU connects on 8.1 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3. It shoots 38.0% from deep while its opponents hit 34.0% from long range.
• The Mustangs rank 42nd in college basketball by averaging 104.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 116th in college basketball, allowing 86.7 points per 100 possessions.
• SMU has committed 1.5 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 11.4 (167th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.9 (137th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have a +7 scoring differential, putting up 79.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) and conceding 78.1 (319th in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. It records 31.4 rebounds per game, 261st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.7.
• Alabama State makes 9.4 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.4. It shoots 34.4% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33.9%.
• Alabama State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 9.7 per game (45th in college basketball) while forcing 11.6 (224th in college basketball).

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