Saturday’s game that pits the No. 18 Ole Miss Rebels (4-2) versus the Alabama State Hornets (2-4) at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss is expected to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 79-45 in favor of Ole Miss, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 3:00 PM ET on November 30.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 52.5. The two sides are projected to go over the 121.5 over/under.

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Ole Miss vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, November 30, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Oxford, Mississippi
• Venue: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
• Line: Ole Miss -52.5
• Point total: 121.5

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Ole Miss vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Ole Miss 79, Alabama State 45

Spread & Total Prediction for Ole Miss vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+52.5)
• Pick OU: Over (121.5)

Ole Miss is 3-1-0 against the spread this season compared to Alabama State’s 0-1-0 ATS record. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Rebels are 2-2-0 and the Hornets are 0-1-0. The two teams average 123.2 points per game, 1.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Ole Miss Performance Insights

• The Rebels average 76.5 points per game (62nd in college basketball) while giving up 51.0 per outing (11th in college basketball). They have a +153 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 25.5 points per game.
• Ole Miss averages 38.3 rebounds per game (41st in college basketball) while allowing 27.8 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 10.5 boards per game.
• Ole Miss knocks down 6.7 three-pointers per game (135th in college basketball) at a 32.5% rate (129th in college basketball), compared to the 2.7 per game its opponents make at a 22.9% rate.
• The Rebels rank 73rd in college basketball by averaging 91.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 11th in college basketball, allowing 60.8 points per 100 possessions.
• Ole Miss has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.3 per game (31st in college basketball play) while forcing 21.2 (36th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 25.8 points per game, with a -155 scoring differential overall. They put up 46.7 points per game (356th in college basketball), and allow 72.5 per contest (302nd in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by an average of 8.3 boards. It grabs 29.5 rebounds per game (297th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 37.8.
• Alabama State makes 3.8 three-pointers per game (328th in college basketball), 5.2 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 20.5% from beyond the arc (354th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 33.5%.
• Alabama State loses the turnover battle by 1.5 per game, committing 19.7 (323rd in college basketball) while its opponents average 18.2.

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