Troy vs. Merrimack Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 29

Published 11:58 pm Thursday, November 28, 2024

Friday’s contest between the Troy Trojans (4-2) and Merrimack Warriors (1-6) at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 75-61 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Troy, so it should be a one-sided matchup. The game will tip off at 2:00 PM ET on November 29.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup against Merrimack. The over/under is currently listed at 136.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Troy vs. Merrimack Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, November 29, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -11.5
  • Point total: 136.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -599, Merrimack +420

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Troy vs. Merrimack Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 75, Merrimack 61

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Merrimack

  • Pick ATS: Troy (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (136.5)

Troy has put together a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season, while Merrimack is 2-5-0. The Trojans have a 3-3-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Warriors have a record of 3-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams put up 132.8 points per game combined, 3.7 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans’ +23 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.7 points per game (230th in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per contest (155th in college basketball).
  • Troy wins the rebound battle by 3.8 boards on average. It records 32.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 221st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.7 per outing.
  • Troy makes 6.8 three-pointers per game (274th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 30.4% from deep while its opponents hit 33.3% from long range.
  • The Trojans’ 90.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 279th in college basketball, and the 85.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 106th in college basketball.
  • Troy loses the turnover battle by 1.3 per game, committing 16.3 (357th in college basketball) while its opponents average 15.0.

Merrimack Performance Insights

  • The Warriors have a -77 scoring differential, falling short by 11.0 points per game. They’re putting up 59.1 points per game, 356th in college basketball, and are allowing 70.1 per contest to rank 159th in college basketball.
  • Merrimack comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 12.6 boards. It grabs 27.7 rebounds per game (344th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 40.3.
  • Merrimack knocks down 4.9 three-pointers per game (352nd in college basketball) while shooting 22.7% from deep (361st in college basketball). It is making 3.1 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 8.0 per game at 35.0%.
  • Merrimack has committed 3.4 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 10.7 (110th in college basketball) while forcing 14.1 (82nd in college basketball).

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