Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
Our computer model predicts a win for the New Orleans Saints when they meet the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
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The Falcons are compiling 307.3 yards per game on offense (20th in NFL), and they rank 18th defensively with 326.7 yards allowed per game. Things have been positive for the Saints on both offense and defense, as they are averaging 34.3 points per game (second-best) and ceding just 14.7 points per game (fifth-best).
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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 60.8%.
- Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have hit the over.
- Falcons games average 45.2 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 4.2 greater than the over/under for this matchup.
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Saints Betting Info
- The Saints have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New Orleans has covered twice in three matchups with a spread this year.
- The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- So far this season, two New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
- The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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