Thursday’s contest between the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) and the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 73-67 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Troy squad taking home the win. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on January 9.

According to our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup versus Texas State. The total has been set at 134.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -6.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -275, Texas State +220

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Troy’s record against the spread so far this season is 8-4-0, and Texas State’s is 7-6-0. A total of five out of the Trojans’ games this season have gone over the point total, and seven of the Bobcats’ games have gone over. The two teams score 149.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its last 10 games, while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 8.3 points per game with a +117 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.7 points per game (231st in college basketball) and allow 65.4 per contest (48th in college basketball).
• Troy wins the rebound battle by 6.7 boards on average. It records 34.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 89th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 27.9 per contest.
• Troy connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (263rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.6 on average.
• The Trojans rank 249th in college basketball with 93.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 25th in college basketball defensively with 82.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 14.7 per game (346th in college basketball) and force 14.0 (49th in college basketball action).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats outscore opponents by 6.6 points per game (posting 75.5 points per game, 178th in college basketball, and giving up 68.9 per outing, 117th in college basketball) and have a +99 scoring differential.
• The 33.1 rebounds per game Texas State accumulates rank 172nd in college basketball, 5.1 more than the 28.0 its opponents grab.
• Texas State connects on 5.5 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball), 1.8 fewer than its opponents.
• Texas State has committed 11.3 turnovers per game (160th in college basketball) while forcing 11.4 (225th in college basketball).

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