Monday’s contest at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Alabama State Hornets (5-9, 1-0 SWAC) taking on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (3-11, 0-1 SWAC) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 87-74 victory, as our model heavily favors Alabama State.

Based on our computer prediction, UAPB projects to cover the 15.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama State. The over/under is currently listed at 163.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -15.5
• Point total: 163.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -1695, UAPB +890

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 87, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Alabama State is 6-6-0 against the spread this season compared to UAPB’s 5-7-0 ATS record. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Hornets are 6-6-0 and the Golden Lions are 9-3-0. The teams score 151.9 points per game combined, 11.6 fewer than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Alabama State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall. UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets average 76.9 points per game (143rd in college basketball) while giving up 79.5 per outing (340th in college basketball). They have a -37 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 2.6 points per game.
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 6.8 boards on average. It records 30.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 295th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 37.4 per outing.
• Alabama State hits 9.6 three-pointers per game (47th in college basketball) while shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc (153rd in college basketball). It is making 1.5 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 8.1 per game while shooting 33.8%.
• The Hornets’ 94.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 212th in college basketball, and the 98.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 324th in college basketball.
• Alabama State wins the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 9.1 (11th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.6.

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions have a -247 scoring differential, falling short by 17.6 points per game. They’re putting up 75.0 points per game, 195th in college basketball, and are allowing 92.6 per outing to rank 364th in college basketball.
• UAPB ranks 321st in college basketball at 29.6 rebounds per game. That’s 6.4 fewer than the 36.0 its opponents average.
• UAPB knocks down 7.9 three-pointers per game (177th in college basketball) while shooting 32.8% from deep (229th in college basketball). It is making 2.7 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 10.6 per game at 35.2%.
• UAPB has had more turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 15.9 per game (359th in college basketball) while forcing 11.5 (219th in college basketball).

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