Saturday’s game that pits the Alabama State Hornets (4-9, 0-0 SWAC) against the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-11, 0-0 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 79-67 in favor of Alabama State, who is big favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on January 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State projects to cover the 22.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama State. The total is currently listed at 139.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -22.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -10000, Mississippi Valley State +2500

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 79, Mississippi Valley State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+22.5)
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)

Alabama State is 5-6-0 against the spread this season compared to Mississippi Valley State’s 3-8-0 ATS record. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 6-5-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The teams score 127.5 points per game combined, 12.0 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. In the past 10 games, Alabama State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall. Mississippi Valley State has gone 2-8 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets average 76.3 points per game (161st in college basketball) while giving up 81.4 per outing (347th in college basketball). They have a -66 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 5.1 points per game.
• The 30.7 rebounds per game Alabama State averages rank 294th in college basketball, and are 7.6 fewer than the 38.3 its opponents record per contest.
• Alabama State hits 1.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.8 (43rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.5.
• The Hornets’ 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 239th in college basketball, and the 100.0 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 343rd in college basketball.
• Alabama State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 9.2 per game (16th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.4 (224th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils put up 51.2 points per game (364th in college basketball) while giving up 85.7 per contest (360th in college basketball). They have a -449 scoring differential and have been outscored by 34.5 points per game.
• The 23.8 rebounds per game Mississippi Valley State accumulates rank 363rd in the nation, 10.0 fewer than the 33.8 its opponents pull down.
• Mississippi Valley State makes 6.0 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 3.8 (364th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.8.
• Mississippi Valley State loses the turnover battle by 6.0 per game, committing 15.8 (359th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.8.

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