The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) are at home in Southeast Division action against the Miami Heat (15-13) on Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Hawks have covered the spread less often than the Heat this year, recording an ATS record of 13-18-0, as opposed to the 14-14-0 mark of the Heat.
• Miami covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point underdog or more 50% of the time. That’s more often than Atlanta covers as a favorite of 2.5 or more (23.1%).
• When it comes to going over the over/under in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents aren’t as successful (53.6% of the time) as Atlanta and its opponents (64.5%).
• The Hawks have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (7-7) this season, higher than the .364 winning percentage for the Heat as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ offense, which ranks seventh in the league with 117.2 points per game, has fared better than their fourth-worst defense (119.5 points allowed per game).
• Atlanta ranks fourth-best in the NBA by averaging 46 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 16th in the league (44 allowed per contest).
• With 29.7 dimes per game, the Hawks are third-best in the league in the category.
• Atlanta is fifth-best in the NBA with 15.9 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks fourth-worst in the league by averaging 15.8 turnovers per contest.
• The Hawks are draining 12.6 three-pointers per game (20th-ranked in league). They sport a 35.1% shooting percentage (18th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

• The Heat are 19th in the league in points scored (111.3 per game) and sixth in points conceded (108.6).
• In 2024-25, Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds (43.3 per game) and 24th in rebounds allowed (45.2).
• With 25.6 assists per game, the Heat are 14th in the NBA.
• In terms of turnovers, Miami is fourth-best in the NBA in committing them (12.5 per game). It is 10th in forcing them (14.4 per game).
• The Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage (37.8%).

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