Houston vs. Troy Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 10

Published 3:58 pm Monday, December 9, 2024

Tuesday’s game at Fertitta Center has the No. 15 Houston Cougars (5-3) squaring off against the Troy Trojans (5-3) at 8:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 80-61 win, as our model heavily favors Houston.

According to our computer prediction, Troy should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 24.5. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 133.5 over/under.

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Houston vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, December 10, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: Fertitta Center
  • Line: Houston -24.5
  • Point total: 133.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Houston -10000, Troy +2800

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Houston vs. Troy Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Houston 80, Troy 61

Spread & Total Prediction for Houston vs. Troy

  • Pick ATS: Troy (+24.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Houston has a 4-4-0 record against the spread this season compared to Troy, who is 5-3-0 ATS. A total of three out of the Cougars’ games this season have hit the over, and five of the Trojans’ games have gone over. The two teams combine to score 153.2 points per game, 19.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Houston Performance Insights

  • The Cougars have a +165 scoring differential, topping opponents by 20.6 points per game. They’re putting up 78.9 points per game to rank 109th in college basketball and are allowing 58.3 per contest to rank fifth in college basketball.
  • Houston wins the rebound battle by 5.4 boards on average. It collects 33.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 150th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.4 per outing.
  • Houston hits 8.9 three-pointers per game (95th in college basketball) while shooting 43.3% from beyond the arc (third-best in college basketball). It is making 1.3 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 7.6 per game while shooting 31.1%.
  • The Cougars rank 40th in college basketball with 104.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth in college basketball defensively with 77.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Houston has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing nine per game (12th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.6 (88th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 3.7 points per game, with a +29 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.3 points per game (206th in college basketball) and give up 70.6 per contest (165th in college basketball).
  • Troy ranks 239th in the country at 32 rebounds per game. That’s 5.2 more than the 26.8 its opponents average.
  • Troy makes 6.8 three-pointers per game (277th in college basketball) at a 31.6% rate (263rd in college basketball), compared to the 7.4 its opponents make, shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc.
  • Troy has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 15.8 per game (357th in college basketball) while forcing 14.3 (59th in college basketball).

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