Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

On Sunday, Nov. 17 at 4:05 p.m. ET, the Denver Broncos will face the Atlanta Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High. Our computer model predicts that the Broncos will claim a victory — keep scrolling for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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On the defensive side of the ball, the Broncos have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering only 17.7 points per game. They rank 22nd on offense (19.7 points per game). The Falcons’ offense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 375.1 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, they are allowing 352.7 total yards per game, which ranks 24th.

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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Broncos (-2) Under (44.5) Broncos 24, Falcons 19

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The Falcons have a 47.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta has put together a 5-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
  • In Atlanta’s 10 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
  • The average total points scored in Falcons games (postseason included) this year (44.5) is two points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • The Broncos have an implied moneyline win probability of 56.5% in this contest.
  • Denver is 7-3-0 ATS this season.
  • When playing as at least 2-point favorites this season, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-0.
  • Denver and its opponent have combined to go over the point total six out of 10 times this season.
  • The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 4.7 higher than the average total in Broncos games this season.

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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Broncos 19.7 17.7 21 17 18.8 18.2
Falcons 23.8 23.6 21.7 24.8 27 21.8

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