Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 3:38 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

On Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will meet the Pittsburgh Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model projects a victory for the Steelers — keep scrolling for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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On offense, the Falcons ranked 26th in the NFL with 18.9 points per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 18th in points allowed (321.1 points allowed per contest). Offensively, the Steelers ranked 25th in the NFL with 304.3 yards per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 21st in total defense (342.1 yards allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Steelers (+3.5) Under (41.5) Steelers 22, Falcons 17

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The Falcons have a 65.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Atlanta covered five times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
  • The Falcons covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more last season (in two opportunities).
  • Last season, seven Atlanta games went over the point total.
  • Falcons games last season posted an average total of 40.1, which is 1.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Steelers Betting Info

  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Steelers.
  • Pittsburgh compiled a 10-7-0 record against the spread last season.
  • The Steelers were an underdog by 3.5 points or more three times last season, and covered the spread in each of those games.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponent combined to go over the point total six out of 17 times last season.
  • The over/under for this game is 2.7 points higher than the average scoring total for Steelers games last season (38.8).

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.9 21.9 24 20.3 14.3 23.4
Steelers 17.9 19.1 18.3 19.2 17.4 18.9

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